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AP HG Unit 4 · Lesson 8 of 10CED 4.8Skill 3.E~ 50 min

Defining Devolutionary Factors

States can lose territory, transfer power downward, or break apart entirely. The CED names six specific factors that drive devolution: physical geography divisions, ethnic separatism, ethnic cleansing, terrorism, economic and social problems, and irredentism. Memorize all six — they appear repeatedly on the AP exam.

Learning Objectives

By the end of this lesson, students will be able to (per CED LO SPS-4.A):

  • Define devolution as the transfer of power from a central state to subnational units, sometimes leading to full state breakup.
  • Identify and define the six CED-named devolutionary factors: physical geography divisions, ethnic separatism, ethnic cleansing, terrorism, economic and social problems, and irredentism (per EK SPS-4.A.1).
  • Identify a contemporary case for each of the six factors with one specific country.
  • Distinguish ethnic separatism (an internal group seeking autonomy or independence) from irredentism (an external state claiming co-ethnic territory in a neighboring state).
  • Apply Skill 3.E: explain what devolution-related maps and data imply about the political stability of states.

Key Concepts

Per CED EK SPS-4.A.1, "factors that can lead to the devolution of states include the division of groups by physical geography, ethnic separatism, ethnic cleansing, terrorism, economic and social problems, and irredentism." This is the only EK in Topic 4.8, but it names exactly six distinct factors that drive devolution — one of the most testable single CED sentences in Unit 4.

Devolution defined

Devolution is the transfer of political power from a central state to subnational units. The transfer can be modest (granting more autonomy to a region within a unitary state, like UK to Scotland) or radical (full breakup into multiple sovereign states, like Yugoslavia in the 1990s). Topic 4.8 covers the factors that drive devolution; Topic 4.9 covers what happens when devolution challenges sovereignty; Topic 4.10 covers the consequences for the state.

"Devolution can be triggered by physical geography that splits groups, by ethnic separatism, ethnic cleansing, terrorism, economic and social problems, and irredentism."AP HG CED, EK SPS-4.A.1 (paraphrased)

Why six factors?

The six CED-named factors capture the major identity, geography, and resource pressures that pull states apart. Most actual devolution cases involve more than one factor at once: the breakup of Yugoslavia involved physical geography (Balkan mountains separating regions), ethnic separatism (Slovenes, Croats, Bosnians, Kosovars), ethnic cleansing (Bosnia, Kosovo), and economic problems (uneven development between northern and southern republics). Each factor multiplies the others.

The Six CED-Named Devolutionary Factors

Per CED EK SPS-4.A.1. Memorize all six and at least one country case for each.

Factor 1

Physical Geography Divisions

Mountains, rivers, oceans, deserts, or distance physically separating parts of a state's population, making central rule difficult and reinforcing regional identities.

Ex: Pakistan-Bangladesh (1,000+ mi separation pre-1971); Indonesian archipelago; Andean coastal/highland Peru
Factor 2

Ethnic Separatism

Political effort by an ethnic group within a multinational state to gain greater autonomy or full independence. The most common driver of contemporary devolution.

Ex: Catalans (Spain); Quebecois (Canada); Scots (UK); Tamils (Sri Lanka); Tibetans (China)
Factor 3

Ethnic Cleansing

The forced removal of an ethnic or religious group from a territory by another group through expulsion, displacement, or killing. Often accelerates state breakup.

Ex: Bosnia (1992-95); Rohingya from Myanmar (2017); Kosovo (1998-99); Rwanda genocide (1994)
Factor 4

Terrorism

Use of violence by non-state actors against civilians to achieve political goals. Sustained terrorist movements can fragment state authority and trigger devolution.

Ex: ETA (Basque, Spain); IRA (Northern Ireland); Tamil Tigers (Sri Lanka); Boko Haram (Nigeria)
Factor 5

Economic & Social Problems

Wide regional inequality, social marginalization, or economic crisis that creates pressure for autonomy or separation by wealthier regions or by neglected ones.

Ex: N. Italy (Padania separatism); Catalonia tax arguments; Slovenia from Yugoslavia (wealth)
Factor 6

Irredentism

Political claim or movement to annex territory in a neighboring state that is occupied by people of the same ethnicity, language, or culture as the claiming state.

Ex: Russia in Crimea/Donbas (Russian speakers); Hungary toward ethnic Hungarians in neighbors; Somalia toward ethnic Somalis

Memory shortcut: Physical, Ethnic (separatism + cleansing), Terror, Economic, Irredentism — PEEEI or "physical, ethnic times two, terror, economic, irredentism."

Country Case Studies

Four cases that show CED-named devolutionary factors at work.

Spain flag

Spain · Ethnic Separatism + Economic

Catalonia ~16% of pop; ~19% of GDP

Spain illustrates two CED factors at once. Catalan ethnic separatism (a distinct language and identity) combines with economic arguments (Catalonia is a net contributor to Spanish federal finances) to produce sustained devolutionary pressure. The 2017 independence referendum (declared illegal by Spanish courts) showed how separatism and economic grievance amplify each other.

Country page →
Myanmar flag

Myanmar · Ethnic Cleansing

~740K Rohingya refugees fled in 2017

The 2017 expulsion of the Rohingya from Rakhine State by Myanmar's military is one of the clearest contemporary cases of ethnic cleansing per the CED definition. About 740,000 Rohingya fled to Bangladesh; the UN has called it a textbook case of ethnic cleansing. The crisis has accelerated international challenges to Myanmar's sovereignty and weakened central state authority in border regions.

Country page →
Ukraine flag

Ukraine · Irredentism (Russia)

Crimea annexed 2014; Donbas conflict ongoing

Russia's annexation of Crimea (2014) and intervention in eastern Ukraine (2014, 2022) are textbook irredentism: Russia claims the right to incorporate Russian-speaking territories of a neighboring sovereign state. Russia made similar irredentist arguments about Russian speakers in the Baltic states and other former Soviet territories. Russian irredentism has been the most violent expression of the CED factor in the 21st century.

Country page →
Indonesia flag

Indonesia · Physical Geography

~17,500 islands · spread ~5,000 km east-west

Indonesia's archipelago of about 17,500 islands stretching 5,000 km east-west is a textbook physical-geography devolutionary factor. Distance and ocean separation reinforce regional identities (Acehnese, Papuan, Balinese) and make central rule from Jakarta logistically and politically difficult. The 2002 independence of Timor-Leste and ongoing Papuan separatism show physical geography contributing directly to devolution.

Country page →

Discussion Questions

  1. The CED names exactly six devolutionary factors. Which one do you think is most powerful as a driver of contemporary state breakup, and why? Use one specific country case to defend your choice.
  2. Distinguish ethnic separatism (Catalans wanting to leave Spain) from irredentism (Russia wanting to take territory from Ukraine). Why does the CED treat them as separate factors when both involve ethnic identity?
  3. Physical geography divisions are listed as a devolutionary factor. But the US, India, and Brazil are large states with major physical geography barriers (the Rockies, the Western Ghats, the Amazon) and they have not devolved. Why? What makes physical geography a stronger or weaker factor in different countries?
  4. Ethnic cleansing is the most violent factor. It can both cause devolution (driving regions to separate) and be a result of devolution gone wrong (Bosnia, Kosovo). How does the chain of causation work in a specific case you know?
  5. Wealthy regions (Catalonia, Lombardy, Flanders) sometimes drive devolution because they resent subsidizing poorer regions. Poor regions (Aceh in Indonesia, Tibet in China) sometimes drive devolution because of marginalization. Why are both wealth and poverty potential devolutionary factors?

Classroom Activities

35 min

Devolutionary Factor Sort

Each pair receives 18 cards naming current devolutionary situations (Catalonia 2017 referendum, Russian invasion of Ukraine, Rohingya expulsion, Quebec 1995 referendum, Northern Italian separatism, etc.). They classify each into one of the six CED-named factors and defend the placement. Multi-factor cases get class discussion.

CED EK: SPS-4.A.1 — Six factors
50 min

Multi-Factor Case Study

Pairs choose one major devolutionary case (Yugoslavia 1990s, Soviet Union 1991, Sudan/South Sudan 2011, Ethiopia/Eritrea 1993). They identify which of the six CED factors contributed and produce a one-page brief explaining how multiple factors interacted to drive the devolution.

CED Skill: 3.E — Maps imply outcomesDeliverable: Multi-factor analysis brief

Vocabulary

The transfer of political power from a central state to subnational units; can range from autonomy to full breakup.
LO SPS-4.A
Mountains, oceans, deserts, or distance separating parts of a state's population.
EK SPS-4.A.1
Political effort by an ethnic group within a state to gain autonomy or independence.
EK SPS-4.A.1
The forced removal of an ethnic or religious group from a territory through expulsion, displacement, or killing.
EK SPS-4.A.1
Use of violence by non-state actors against civilians to achieve political goals.
EK SPS-4.A.1
A political claim or movement to annex territory in a neighboring state occupied by co-ethnics.
EK SPS-4.A.1
The fragmentation of a state into smaller, often hostile units (named after the breakup of Yugoslavia).
Builds on EK SPS-4.A.1
The principle that nations have the right to choose their own political status; often justifies devolutionary movements.
From Topic 4.2
The formal withdrawal of a region from a state to become independent or join another state.
Builds on EK SPS-4.A.1

Standards Alignment

Draft alignment — pending educator review. AP HG codes correspond to the official College Board Course and Exam Description (Effective Fall 2020, V.1). Statements below are paraphrased in CountryReports' own voice; refer to the College Board's published CED for verbatim wording.

AP Human Geography CED-ALIGNED

Suggested Skill

3.EAccount for what maps or data suggest or demonstrate about geographic principles, processes, and outcomes.

Enduring Understanding

SPS-4State sovereignty can be tested by political, economic, cultural, or technological change.

Learning Objective

SPS-4.AState the meaning of the factors that drive the devolution of states.

Essential Knowledge

SPS-4.A.1Devolution can be triggered by physical geography that splits groups, by ethnic separatism, ethnic cleansing, terrorism, economic and social problems, and irredentism.
National Cross-Walks
NCSS Theme 6Power, Authority, and Governance — the ethics and limits of state authority over reproduction.
NCSS Theme 9Global Connections — moving from local to global to interpret patterns at the world scale.
C3 D2.His.4.9-12Examine the interacting factors that shaped the perspectives of people across different historical eras.
C3 D2.Civ.13.9-12Assess public policies based on their planned and unplanned outcomes and the consequences that follow.
CCSS RH.11-12.6Weigh the contrasting points of view that authors take on the same historical event or issue.
Discipline-Specific National Standards
Geography for Life · Std 13How cooperation and conflict between people influence the way the surface of the Earth is divided and controlled.
Geography for Life · Std 17Using geography to make sense of the past — including assessing qualitative historical spatial sources.
Nat Std Civics IV.AHow the world is politically organized — including the frameworks governing refugees and asylum.
Other Assessment Frameworks
AP World HistoryAcross all six AP World units, regional analysis is a central skill.
AP Comparative GovernmentWithin the six AP CG country cases, cultural cleavages and political identity.
IB Global PoliticsCore unit covering power, sovereignty, and international relations — including failed states and ethnonationalism.

AP® and Advanced Placement® are registered trademarks of the College Board. The College Board was not involved in the production of this material and does not endorse it. Standards statements above are paraphrased; codes refer back to the official College Board CED, the NCSS C3 Framework, the Common Core State Standards, and other cited frameworks.

AP Practice Questions

Multiple Choice Sample
1Question: Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea and 2022 invasion of Ukraine were partly justified by Russian claims to Russian-speaking populations in those territories. This pattern best illustrates which CED-named devolutionary factor?
  • (A) Ethnic separatism.
  • (B) Ethnic cleansing.
  • (C) Terrorism.
  • (D) Irredentism.
  • (E) Physical geography divisions.

Correct: (D). Per EK SPS-4.A.1, irredentism is the political claim to annex territory in a neighboring state occupied by co-ethnics. Russia claiming Russian-speaking Crimea/Donbas is the textbook irredentism case. (A) is the opposite direction (internal group seeking out, not external state claiming in).

Free-Response Question Stem
2Per CED EK SPS-4.A.1, the AP HG CED names six factors that can lead to devolution of states. (A) Identify all six CED-named devolutionary factors. (B) Define each one in one sentence. (C) Provide one specific contemporary country example for each factor. (D) Distinguish ethnic separatism from irredentism using one specific case where both factors apply.

Scoring: 1 point for naming all six (physical geography, ethnic separatism, ethnic cleansing, terrorism, economic/social problems, irredentism); 6 points for correct definitions and country examples (Indonesia for physical; Catalonia for separatism; Bosnia or Rohingya for cleansing; Sri Lanka or Spain for terrorism; Catalonia or Slovenia for economic; Russia/Ukraine for irredentism); 1 point for distinguishing separatism (internal group seeking out) from irredentism (external state claiming in) using a specific case.